84% of Polymarket wallets lose money. What the winners do differently
What on-chain studies say about who profits on Polymarket, and five habits of the traders who do, from position sizing to being the maker.
Read the article →Polymarket software & research
PolyWhales is a team of developers and active prediction-market traders. We build software for Polymarket and write up what works, with numbers you can check.
Free 8-chapter course5 languagesEvery number sourced
Whale radar · illustration
What we do
Software for active traders, a free course for people placing their first trade, and research on how these markets behave when real money is on the line.
Scanners, trackers and automation for Polymarket. We build them for our own trading first.
See what we're buildingA free 8-chapter course that starts at “what is a prediction market?” and ends with fees, resolution disputes and real case files. Available in 5 languages.
Open the courseFee breakdowns, oracle disputes, insider cases and on-chain statistics. Every claim links to its source.
Read the blogSoftware
We build what our own trading needs, then polish it so anyone can use it. Here is what we're working on now.
In development
Scans every category at once for wide spreads, thin order books and outcome prices that don't add up to $1.
In development
Flags large positions and odd activity, such as brand-new wallets placing big bets right before the news.
In development
Alerts and limit-order automation for traders who want to be the maker. Makers pay no fees and earn rebates.
We announce launch dates and early access on X first: @polywhales_vip
Free course
Eight chapters with animated scenes, a trade calculator, real sign-up screenshots, nine real case files and a final quiz. In about 40 minutes you'll learn how prices, orders and payouts work, and where beginners lose money.
How we work
I
Nobody can promise profit on a prediction market, so we don't. We explain the mechanics and the risks, and you make the calls.
II
Fees come from the official docs, cases from named publications and statistics from published studies. Each one is linked.
III
Links to Polymarket on this site are referral links. We may receive a share of Polymarket's trading fees, and your fees stay the same. That's how the course stays free.
IV
We teach position sizing and reading the rules before any strategy, because a blown-up account can't use one.
From the blog
What on-chain studies say about who profits on Polymarket, and five habits of the traders who do, from position sizing to being the maker.
Read the article →Only takers pay, the fee peaks at 50¢, and makers get rebates. The formula, the rates by category and the habits that keep your costs close to zero.
Read the article →The UMA optimistic oracle step by step, what changed in 2025, and three real disputes where the fine print beat the headlines.
Read the article →Product launches, new articles and course updates go out on X first.